On 07 Apr 2021, Lee Lofaso said the following...
I have invested real money in the following positions:
Uh-oh.
I find that putting money where my mouth is forces me to think more carefully about my positions.
Lara Trump in 2022 GOP Sen. Primary? (No)
If she runs, and loses, it will mean the end of Trump's
campaign for president.
True, but I also don't think there will be a Trump 2024 campaign.
Votes for Gupta as Assoc. Attorney Gen.? (Not 50)
The Senate will vote to confirm Biden's nomination.
I believe so, yes, but the bet here is that the votes will not be split 50/50 (not counting the VP vote).
Who will control the Senate after 2022? (Democrats)
With, or without help from Kamala in her role as president
of the Senate? That is the question.
That doesn't matter; either one is a win for me.
Which party will win the House in 2022? (Republicans)
That is far from a sure bet.
True. But I'm pessimistic on this one.
Democratic 2024 presidential nominee? (Kamala Harris)
Far from a sure bet. Especially if Biden remains healthy,
as well as popular.
Yeah, that's a difficult one. I'm betting that either something happens to Biden or he just doesn't have another term in him.
GOP 2024 presidential nominee? (Not Trump)
Only works if no other serious contender emerges.
Or Trump doesn't run. Despite all of his bluster about being cheated out of
the election, he hasn't declared for 2024 yet. In 2017, he registered for
2020 the day after his inauguration.
Don Jr runs in 2022 PA GOP Sen. primary? (No)
He is a lightweight. A wannabe, yes. But still a lightweight.
A real embarrassment. For his father, his brother, his sisters,
his sister-in-law, and a true delight for his cousin.
Yep.
Greene re-elected to the House in 2022? (Yes)
Likely to be thrown out before her first and only term ends.
That's a possibility, but she's from a very Republican district and has quite
a following among the Trumpers. If she can keep her Twitter-finger under control, I think she might find redemption.
Sanders wins 2022 AR GOP Gov. primary? (No)
She is well ahead, and all other candidates far behind.
I mean, you are talking redneck country. The same people
who gave us Bill Clinton.
True, but she has a lot of baggage from her tenure as Press Secretary.
Trump files for President before 2022? (No)
Trump pleads "not guilty" in his tax trials due to bankruptcy.
He will never be able to live that down.
I just don't think he has it in him. He is raising money on the *possibility* that he'll run, but that's the low-hanging fruit; he doesn't really have to *do* anything. I do hope he gets his derierre handed to him in court, though.
Will Cuomo be impeached before 9/1? (No)
Huey P. Long was impeached. But not removed from office.
"This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the New York State Assembly, by simple majority, votes to impeach Governor Andrew Cuomo before
the End Date listed below. Mr. Cuomo does not need to be tried, convicted or removed from office in order for this market to resolve as Yes."
Cuomo in office at the end of the year? (Yes)
Only because his doctor is a lousy shot (unlike Long's doctor).
Heh.
Will Matt Gaetz resign before May 1? (Yes)
Only because he failed to get his girlfriends to sing a non-disclosure agreement.
This one... This one is all over the place. I'm riding this one more as a way to pick up a few pennies on changes in public opinion. I don't really think he'll resign by May 1.
You'll be lucky to escape with a single $1. And I mean lucky.
And you know what that means. Gotta wear green. To show you are
truly lucky.
I'm not doing too bad so far. Somebody's gotta win, and somebody's gotta
lose, you know?
Jeff.
"For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong." -- H. L. Mencken, who indeed was a racist thereby proving himself right.
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* Origin: Cold War Computing BBS (1:387/26)